JCO Precis Oncol. 2026 Sep;10(9):e2600095. doi: 10.1200/PO-26-00095. Epub 2026 Sep 4.
ABSTRACT
PURPOSE: Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) may serve as a biomarker to facilitate early identification of asymptomatic distant tumor spread in patients with breast cancer. The primary objective of this study was to assess clinical validity and prognostic value of post-treatment tissue-free ctDNA detection by evaluating its sensitivity for distant metastatic recurrence and its association with long-term outcomes.
PATIENTS AND METHODS: Plasma samples were prospectively collected from patients with stage I-III early breast cancer who participated in the adjuvant SUCCESS-A phase III clinical trial (ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT02181101). In this study, plasma samples collected approximately 2 years after completion of adjuvant chemotherapy from 313 SUCCESS A patients without evidence of prior disease recurrence were retrospectively analyzed using a tissue-free epigenomic ctDNA assay (Guardant Reveal). Survival analyses were performed using a landmark approach based on the time of sample collection.
RESULTS: Overall, ctDNA was detected in 18 of 313 samples (5.8%). Of all ctDNA detected samples, 94% (17/18) were from patients who subsequently developed a distant recurrence, with ctDNA detected at a median interval of 7.9 months before recurrence. ctDNA positivity was strongly associated with a significantly shorter distant recurrence-free interval (hazard ratio [HR], 33.3 [95% CI, 4.12 to 268]; P < .0001) and poorer overall survival (HR, 27.3 [95% CI, 1.15 to 647]; P < .0001). The sensitivity for distant recurrence in patients who had a sample collected within 1 year before recurrence was 73% (11/15). The specificity in nonrecurred patients was 99.6% (267/268).
CONCLUSION: Tissue-free detection of ctDNA 2 years after adjuvant chemotherapy was highly prognostic in an early-stage breast cancer cohort, and can be used to stratify patients with early-stage breast cancer at high risk for recurrence during follow-up who may benefit from early interventions.
PMID:42696691 | DOI:10.1200/PO-26-00095
